Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.018148 0.019994 0.021852 0.023857 0.025956 0.028084 0.030400
2025-06-15 0.014592 0.017478 0.020503 0.023889 0.027551 0.031373 0.035644
2025-06-22 0.012160 0.015582 0.019286 0.023543 0.028253 0.033265 0.038962
2025-06-29 0.010191 0.013936 0.018111 0.023024 0.028568 0.034561 0.041467
2025-07-06 0.008303 0.012183 0.016648 0.022027 0.028212 0.034999 0.042918
2025-07-13 0.007442 0.011552 0.016399 0.022341 0.029268 0.036949 0.045988
2025-07-20 0.006498 0.010729 0.015850 0.022245 0.029799 0.038265 0.048308
2025-07-27 0.005646 0.009944 0.015286 0.022076 0.030203 0.039397 0.050389
2025-08-03 0.005213 0.009666 0.015317 0.022595 0.031389 0.041407 0.053449
2025-08-10 0.004541 0.009007 0.014823 0.022440 0.031749 0.042442 0.055375
2025-08-17 0.003912 0.008348 0.014289 0.022200 0.031979 0.043303 0.057082
2025-08-24 0.003425 0.007849 0.013932 0.022154 0.032422 0.044395 0.059041
2025-08-31 0.002843 0.007179 0.013350 0.021855 0.032607 0.045252 0.060818
2025-09-07 0.002413 0.006707 0.013021 0.021876 0.033195 0.046605 0.063202
2025-09-14 0.001939 0.006092 0.012449 0.021546 0.033321 0.047385 0.064895
2025-09-21 0.001490 0.005443 0.011780 0.021051 0.033212 0.047862 0.066213
2025-09-28 0.001017 0.004633 0.010808 0.020101 0.032489 0.047567 0.066592
2025-10-05 0.000859 0.004438 0.010757 0.020400 0.033356 0.049202 0.069264
2025-10-12 0.000657 0.004089 0.010438 0.020308 0.033704 0.050193 0.071157
2025-10-19 0.000478 0.003736 0.010083 0.020147 0.033950 0.051046 0.072878
2025-10-26 0.000411 0.003666 0.010190 0.020642 0.035052 0.052958 0.075873
2025-11-02 0.000281 0.003353 0.009863 0.020494 0.035296 0.053798 0.077568
2025-11-09 0.000173 0.003031 0.009493 0.020266 0.035421 0.054479 0.079063